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Weather [ Update-02 ] CISA Situation Report : Hurricane Delta - Caribbean Sea | 10-07-20 | INC10309622
Critical Infrastructure Impacted: Energy (Oil), Nuclear Reactors, Materials, and Waste
Summary: The National Hurricane Center reported Hurricane Delta was downgraded to a Category 3 Hurricane. As of 0500 ET, Delta is located approximately 35 miles east-northeast of Cozumel, Mexico and moving northwest at 17 mph with maximum sustained winds near 115 mph.
Delta will move over the northeastern portion of the Yucatan Peninsula during the next few hours. Delta is forecast to move over the southern Gulf of Mexico Wednesday afternoon, and be over the southern or central Gulf of Mexico through Thursday, 08 Oct, and approach the northern Gulf coast on Friday, 09 Oct.
Little change in strength is expected before the center reaches the coast of the Yucatan peninsula during the next few hours. Although some weakening is likely when Delta moves over the Yucatan peninsula, re-strengthening is forecast when the hurricane moves over the southern Gulf of Mexico Wednesday night and Thursday.
Delta could become a Category 4 Hurricane again by late Thursday. Weakening is expected as Delta approaches the northern Gulf coast on Friday.
KEY POINTS:
- Friday through Saturday, Delta is expected to produce four to eight inches of rain, with isolated maximum totals of 12 inches across portions of the central Gulf Coast north into portions of the Lower Mississippi Valley
- These rainfall amounts will lead to flash, urban, and small stream flooding, along with minor river flooding. Heavy rainfall will eventually spread into the Tennessee Valley, and interior southeastern United States this weekend into early next week
- A total of 56 platforms and one rig have been evacuated, and six dynamically positioned rigs have been movedoff location
- Waterford and River Bend reactor sites are forecast to have maximum sustained winds in the lower 40 mph range on Saturday morning, 10 Oct
CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE IMPACTS:
Energy
(Oil)
According to the Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement, approximately 29 percent of current oil production in the Gulf of Mexico has been shut-in and approximately 8 percent of natural gas production in the Gulf of Mexico has been shut-in. A total of 56 platforms and one rig have been evacuated, and six dynamically positioned rigs have been moved-off location.
Nuclear Reactors, Materials and Waste
Waterford and River Bend reactor sites are forecast to have maximum sustained winds in the lower 40 mph range on Saturday morning, 10 Oct.
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for:
- Tulum to Dzilam Mexico
- Cozumel
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for:
- Cuba province of Pinar del Rio
- Punta Herrero to Tulum
- Dzilam to Progresso
ACTIVATIONS AND DECLARATIONS:
The FEMA National Response Coordination Cell will activate to Level II on 07 Oct Day Shift and transition to full activation, 24/7, at 0800 ET on 08 Oct.
The Alabama, Louisiana, and Mississippi EOCs are at partial activation and the Florida EOC is at full activation.
CISA Actions:
- Central Pensacola preparing for potential local impacts; CISA Central – NCR has established proper coverage levels while storm impacts the region
- Central created a Sharepoint page, HSIN-CI tab, and WebEOC tab for proper tracking and archiving
- Setup daily touchpoint calls with Region IV & VI Operations Manager; no unmet needs at this time; awaiting more certainty of potential impact cone
- Continue to monitor the progress of the storm
[ National Hurricane Center - Hurricane Delta ]
Respectfully,
CISA Central
Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA)